The Gateway Effect
Now, if one skims through the Wikipedia page on the Gateway Drug Theory you’ll note that there seems to be more evidence against the theory. Now, that somewhat is and isn’t correct. The strong version of the Gateway Drug Theory is that substance abuse is like a trail of candies, with the closest one next in the chain allures you into trying the next. That theory does seem to have been disproved. The weak version, however, would be like if you were to remove all spicy dishes on the planet except those that were equivalent to a 5-star rating at the spiciest restaurant in the world. In that case, there would probably be very few people who ate spicy food because there is no first step to take that isn’t 100%. That is to say, a gateway drug doesn’t draw you in, rather it lets you take baby steps instead of having to jump past your comfort level all at once. Rather, the pressure to advance up the ladder comes from bravado, peer pressure, or whatever else, but the existence of intermediate challenge levels makes you more likely to find something you are willing to try. Even with the complete array of steps that one can take in terms of spiciness in modern day, you’ll note that most people still peek at say 30-50%.
Using the weak version of the theory, the RAND “Mathematical Model” would be moved to be in favor of the theory, neither of the rat studies are applicable, and the “Study of American Adolescents” doesn’t appear to be testing anything beyond that if you find cases where people didn’t do as the theory states, then the theory is wrong — which I can only say seems to be about as intellectually dishonest a test as one could fashion.
Given that we have seen that when the social stigma of prostitution is removed, the demand for prostitution rises, I think we can add that in as another item of evidence in favor of the weak theory.
Market Factors
But then there is the Amsterdam example from the gateway drug theory tests. While it seems likely that a stepping-stone effect does exist, it doesn’t necessarily mean that legalizing a lower drug, like marijuana, will lead to greater use of heavier greater drugs. If all drugs were legal, then it might; but they aren’t.
A factor to what you do is how much money is in your wallet. Another factor is the sort of effect that you are trying to achieve.
Say that there are 10 flavors of ice cream. I arrange those in order from least tasty (#1) to most tasty (#10) and add 10¢ to the price for each level higher in the chain of taste. A person will test the cheapest and decide whether to continue on or if he’s satisfied with that taste at that price. If he continues on, he tries the next most delicious and the next most delicious.
If, on the other hand, I price the least delicious ice cream at 10¢ and then price the others starting at $5, increasing at 10¢ after that point, it’s possible that after trying #1, that next ice cream that they try is any one of the remaining 9 types. Once you’re resigned to the $5 hit, the difference in price between everything that remains isn’t all that large a factor.
But then say that I take the first 3 types, sell them each at 10¢, and the rest starting at $5. While I’ll still see people trying the more expensive ice creams in a random fashion, it’s quite possible that only very few people will try any of those. With the selection of the three ice creams, the variety on offer is wide enough to satisfy almost everyone’s tastes, and the leap from there to the next level (pricewise) isn’t seen as being worthwhile.
Presuming this model to work in the real world, it has two implications. Firstly, is that if you are overly prohibitive, it may backfire and cause greater use of harder drugs. Secondly, is that you can control which drugs are used more often by adjusting the relative costs. That is to say, you can decide where the $5 hit (illegalization) comes, and the relative price (taxes, prison sentences, and fines) of the individual items.
Another form of displacement is that a person’s budget is limited. If he has $5 in his wallet and a 6 pack of beer costs $5 and a pack of marijuana cigarettes costs $5, he has to choose between them. When marijuana is legalized, for example, it’s quite possible that the number of people who get drunk and go out and crash their car into a pedestrian will shrink as the number of marijuana smokers increases. On the other hand, the number of cases of cancer will increase, which cost will fall on the taxpayer. Though it’s to be admitted that it doesn’t appear that usage of marijuana changes (and subsequently, the usage of alcohol or tobacco) with legalization/decriminalization because most people are ignoring the criminal penalties for possession already and hence it doesn’t factor into cost.
The Teen, College Student, and Party Goer
It may seem odd that the criminalization of marijuana doesn’t appear to inhibit usage, but the thing to notice is that outside of those living in poverty, the mass users of drugs are students between perhaps ages 14 and 22 (i.e. high school and college). And more importantly is to note that for all of those under the age of 21, purchasing alcohol is a crime, and all those under the age of 18, purchasing cigarettes is a crime. For the grand majority of the group who we are interested in, the principal price barrier — legality — is already rendered moot; once you have already started on that path, continuing on it seems a non-issue even when cigarettes and alcohol become legal for you. The only remaining price difference is the question of perceived danger and the amount of pressure that others place on you to try something. Very few kids are going to try heroin because, simply, it’s viewed as too dangerous and the purpose of the drugs are to be social and/or to diminish inhibitions, not so much to get high. Getting high on heroin makes you largely useless so far as socializing goes.
Smoking is a good drug for socializing because it gives you something to do with your motor controls section of your brain while you stand around talking. Drinking is a better one because it accomplishes that same purpose while also diminishing your inhibitions and hence making you feel more free to dance, make jokes, and break the ice.
The addictive qualities of alcohol and cigarettes don’t make kids drink alcohol and smoke, rather they keep the kid from being able to drop the habit when he becomes an adult or when he starts to realize the dangers.
The major dangers for a partier, is that he will OD, that he will be taken advantage of, that he will do something stupid like driving while intoxicated, or that he will become addicted — which is really a crap shoot, dependent on the addictive properties of the drug. There’s no knowing beforehand whether you will or won’t be the type to become addicted.
But whereas most drug usage is for partying purposes, and this is where the greatest impetus to push through the barrier of illegality comes from, there is also the small groups where two or three people might get together to be mellow and high. They smoke marijuana, or perhaps try some other form of opiate (like heroin). Generally, this is going to be a fringe group as sitting around staring at the roof isn’t something that appeals to most, whereas dancing and socializing does. And generally, they probably won’t try harder drugs because while they don’t want to party, they do still want to socialize at least a bit. And as middle-classed kids, they have a future to look forward to and don’t want to risk it by trying something dangerous.
The Poor
On the other hand, when it comes to the poor, the goal is more to relieve stress, zone out, or otherwise to self-medicate. The danger here isn’t so much drunk driving, but rather domestic violence, heightened probability of committing a violent crime, and the willingness to go for the harder drugs. Overwhelmingly, though, alcohol is still the winner. It is cheap, legal, and gives enough of a buzz and a dulled mind to satisfactorily accomplish the desired ends. But it is at the same time a drug that, unlike marijuana, makes one more likely to act stupidly due to heightened emotions and lowered rationality — rather than to mellow out and be at peace with the universe.
Heroin, while in the same class of drugs as marijuana (opiates), is however of sufficient addictiveness that when the person isn’t placid and at ease, they’re liable to commit a crime to finance their urge.
The Poor – Needle Park
For those addicted to heavier drugs, the idea was introduced to create a region for legalized drug trafficking and use. The theory was that prices would lower, meaning that there was less need to rob convenience stores and so on, gang confrontations would happen separate from where law-abiding citizens lived, and charity and medical organizations would be able to hand out fresh needles and other supplies to help prevent the transmission of HIV and other illnesses.
The problems with this model is that, 1) it draws drug addicts from surrounding regions. In Europe, that might be from countries which still had drug prohibitions, whereas in the US it would probably be from states which maintained restrictions. 2) NIMBYism seems to get the parks shut down. Everyone around the bad region is affected by those going in-and-out, especially when confrontations spill over. A zone of legalized anarchy is, for obvious reasons, liable to impact its surroundings. And overall the cynicism of “let them go and kill themselves over there” is too great for most to accept.
Personally, I’m fine with cynicism, but if such locations are consistently shut down or are perceived as a failure by most of the population, then the point is moot.
The Poor – Heroin Centers
The original idea of heroin prescription was that you are treating an addict with a particular regimen that is controlled, and hence can be gradually diminished so that the person is free of the addiction. I don’t believe that this has met with a particularly large amount of success. The sort of person who is on heroin is on it because he feels his life sucks. He’s happiest on the drug, and that’s a heck of an impetus even without the addictive qualities of the drug itself.
The idea that followed this, then, is simply to let them have it. There is no prescription, you simply register into a program and show up once a day. If the government sells heroin, it can underbid an illegal seller — with the lowered price equating to less crime. There is no needle sharing, there are no gang confrontations, and the quality of the drug is purer and less harmful. Daily contact with a trained medic increases overall health and happiness of those who enroll in the program. Overall, this doesn’t seem to decrease heroin use nor lessen the number of people who start the habit, but it does lessen the secondary impacts on society. Overall, it does seem to be a successful system:
http://nceph.anu.edu.au/Publications/Opioids/work14a.pdf
http://www.sptimes.com/News/073101/Worldandnation/Heroin_for_addicts_wo.shtml
Potentially, similar systems could be set up for other drugs — though due to the nature of how a drug works, it may be that a person can’t be stabilized on a particular dosage, that they wouldn’t want to stay at the facility while under the effects of the drug, or otherwise the system would be non-applicable. Certainly, it is worth testing. I don’t believe that one would need to worry about regular teens showing up at a medical clinic full of addicts to get high, nor anyone being naturally attracted to such a thing except for those who would have been willing to purchase those same drugs legally. I don’t see any reason to think that the existence of such clinics would increase demand as time went on.
Drugs are Drugs
Now, while a heroin clinic may decrease the downsides of heroin usage among the poor, we are still failing to impact the drug usage of teens, and the much larger issue of alcohol use among the poor.
The problem I see is that there is a disconnect for most people between caffeine, cigarettes, alcohol, and drugs. What if I was to tell you that a new drug called Woozle had the same qualities as alcohol but without dampening motor reflexes and with a lower level of addictiveness? What if I was to then tell you that Woozle has already existed for 20 years, is used by teens regularly at parties, and if you’re found using it you’ll be stuck in jail for 20 years?
Personally, I don’t know if Woozle exists, but I do know that with the way the US currently functions, if we found better alternatives to drugs like alcohol and tobacco, they would be prohibited and people would continue to use alcohol and tobacco and they would be ever-so-hesitantly scared of Woozle because they know it’s a “drug”. Yet, it would be perfectly easy if the true effects (positive and negative) of Woozle and other improved drugs were known to adjust the market place such that they became the drugs of choice. Teens may be idiots, overall, but they still understand that if they can get the same effect without as great a risk of a car accident, they’ll probably go for it. For all I know, if one could make a beverage out of Ecstasy, it would completely replace the market for alcohol among teens, and make the world a better and safer place:
While I do appreciate that self-medication with a narcotic is something to be frowned upon, at the same time it’s clear that it’s going to happen, be it with alcohol or Ecstasy. Ultimately, you would rather have people using the drugs with the fewest downsides for the rest society, if nothing else. A history of thousands of years of alcohol might give us an emotional bond to that particular drug, but frankly it’s possibly one of the worst drugs you could have be legal compared to equivalent alternatives due to its effects on driving and violent crime. Tobacco and marijuana are poor choices because even if you reduce second hand smoke they lead to an increase in cancer, and the bill for chemotherapy falls on the rest of us. A rational reappraisal of all known compounds that might be used for social or stress-relieving purposes and a marketing push to move people to those drugs and then prohibiting alcohol, cigarettes, and marijuana (or more likely price-adjusting them to be luxury items) could very well be the greatest thing that we could do to reduce addiction and crime.
There may well be place to out-and-out prohibit certain things, but that should be based on something greater than tradition.
General Remarks
Prohibiting alcohol and cigarettes to younger teens is ultimately futile due to the shared interaction with college students at clubs and parties. Raising the legal age to 24 may succeed in letting the price barrier start to kick in, particularly if the difficulty of counterfeiting drivers licenses was raised at the same time. But on the other hand, I don’t see young adults who want to party and who’ve had a history of alcohol and drug use within living memory deciding to go ahead with clean and wholesome partying. Those who were willing to buy illegally would buy for everyone and the illegal market would grow. The heightened down-cost might make such parties less common, but I don’t know that I’d want to trust that, and I’d certainly not like to give strength to organized crime.
If marijuana is legalized, actively pushing it as a preferable alternative to alcohol among the poor could very well result in lower crime rates. It seems like a drug that would fit their desires well enough and so a targeted push would likely be effective. With cost reductions in criminal proceedings (which can cost in the hundreds of thousands of dollars per case) due to lessened violent crime and removal of possession crimes from marijuana, the raised cost of treating cancer patients may well be equivalent or even net to a benefit.
With drugs like Rohypnol (the date rape drug), cyanide, or other drugs for malevolent purposes, maintain prohibition seems entirely reasonable.
With drugs like steroids, I believe that a sort of peer pressure is in action (the race to the bottom effect), that there aren’t better alternatives to be switched to, and that both the public and the competitors themselves would probably prefer that steroid use go away. In light of that, I don’t see any particular argument to legalize their use.
Conclusion
Overall, I would recommend prohibiting as many drugs as can be prohibited. But the prohibition of drugs should be based on the real world effects, not tradition. There should be enough legal narcotics to provide a well-rounded and generally safe menu, and the rest illegal or priced out of feasibility for most. Ultimately, that gives the police more time and money to dedicate to worrying about tracking down and destroying the stuff that matters.
There is the worry that people would be popping twenty types of pills at the same time, but that’s why I would further suggest that these drugs be included as part of drinks or food — something that takes time to partake, takes up physical space, and gives you something to do while you socialize. If that’s done and people were educated about the dangers of mixing pharmaceuticals (which I think they are), I don’t think you would see that much mixing.